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N-able, Inc. (NABL)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- N-able delivered a clean beat on Q3 revenue and non-GAAP EPS, raised full-year ARR, revenue, and adjusted EBITDA guidance; narrative centered on accelerating ARR, improving retention, and AI-driven product momentum .
- Revenue was $131.7M vs S&P Global consensus $127.5M*; non-GAAP EPS was $0.13 vs $0.09 consensus*; management’s adjusted EBITDA of $41.4M exceeded internal guidance while standard EBITDA missed Wall Street’s EBITDA consensus, highlighting definition differences .*
- FY25 guidance raised: ARR to $530–$531M, revenue to $507.7–$508.7M, adjusted EBITDA to $148.2–$149.2M; Q4 guide calls for revenue $126.5–$127.5M and adj. EBITDA $33.6–$34.6M .
- Catalysts: ARR acceleration, improved gross/net retention, AI product launches (CATNIP framework; anomaly detection), and channel expansion; Q4 headwinds include FX and lapping Adlumin acquisition, with a planned ~$50M deferred payment .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Beat top-line and non-GAAP EPS; raised FY25 ARR/revenue/EBITDA guidance; adjusted EBITDA $41.4M (31.4% margin) vs above prior guide .
- ARR grew 14% YoY to $528.1M; gross and net retention improved YoY and sequentially; customers ≥$50k ARR rose ~15% YoY to 2,611 (now 61% of ARR) .
- AI momentum: launched CATNIP standard and anomaly detection in data protection; management emphasized “AI-driven threats demand AI-driven defense” .
- Quote: “We’re leaning into this moment with conviction—delivering growth and profitability” — CEO John Pagliuca .
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What Went Wrong
- Year-over-year margin compression: non-GAAP gross margin 81.1% vs 83.7% prior-year; adjusted EBITDA margin 31.4% vs 38.5% prior-year .
- GAAP profitability muted: GAAP net income $1.4M (diluted EPS $0.01), reflecting higher opex and interest/tax costs vs prior-year $0.06 GAAP EPS .
- Standard EBITDA missed Wall Street consensus (actual ~$24.0M vs ~$36.5M*), despite strong adjusted EBITDA, underscoring metric definition gap for investors .*
Financial Results
Subscription vs Other Revenue
KPIs (Q3 2025)
Vs Estimates (S&P Global)
Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- Strategic stance: “AI‑driven threats are elevating the need for cybersecurity and we are arming organizations with cutting‑edge solutions” — CEO John Pagliuca .
- Execution focus: “Strong top‑line growth, quality margins, healthy free cash flow, and considerable operational progress” — CFO Tim O’Brien .
- AI leadership: “AI‑powered technology stack… transforming raw data into actionable insights… democratizing security by delivering advanced AI SOC capabilities at a fraction of the cost” — CEO John Pagliuca .
- Channel motion: “Active relationships with a sizable number of the top 25 U.K. partners… starting in the U.K. and plan to expand in other regions” — CEO John Pagliuca .
Q&A Highlights
- ARR acceleration drivers: Execution on Adlumin thesis, broader channel presence via new distributors/resellers; Q3 sequential ARR best YTD; Q4 ARR growth ex‑currency above YTD average, but FX weighs modestly .
- NRR/GRR trends: Confidence high that NRR bottomed in Q1; improving GRR via ~90% renewal rates on longer-term contracts; DBNRR ~102% .
- Q4 guidance context: Lapping Adlumin contributes ~4–5% impact to implied sequential decel; ex‑currency Q4 sequential ARR would be ~$10M higher if Q3 rates applied .
- Product launches: Anomaly detection is both upsell and land enabler; CATNIP standardizes AI vocabulary for cross‑system automation, expected to drive monetization .
- Investment and margins: Commitment to ~30% adjusted EBITDA margin in FY2026 while investing in AI and lower‑cost sites (e.g., India) to balance growth and profitability .
Estimates Context
- Strong beats vs S&P Global consensus: Revenue $131.71M vs $127.48M*; non-GAAP EPS $0.13 vs $0.09*, both reflecting ARR momentum and retention gains; highlight definition differences for EBITDA (Street’s standard EBITDA $36.53M* vs actual ~$23.97M; management reports adjusted EBITDA $41.4M) .*
- Forward look: Q4 revenue guide $126.5–$127.5M aligns closely with Street revenue consensus $127.03M*; EPS consensus $0.10* with margin guide implying ~27% adj. EBITDA; FX and lapping Adlumin are modeled in guidance .*
Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Revenue and non-GAAP EPS beats with raised FY25 ARR/revenue/adj. EBITDA guidance signal durable demand and execution; near-term setup supported by Q4 guide in line with Street .
- ARR acceleration and improving retention metrics (DBNRR ~102%) indicate strengthening cohort dynamics and effective cross‑sell (Adlumin, UEM, data protection) .
- AI product momentum (CATNIP, anomaly detection, AI‑powered SOC) provides differentiation and potential monetization levers; expect sustained innovation cadence .
- Margin trajectory: Sequentially stable adj. EBITDA margin (~31%) but YoY compression vs Q3’24; management targets ~30% in FY2026 while investing behind AI and go‑to‑market .
- Watch FX and acquisition lap in Q4; ex‑currency growth remains above YTD average; planned ~$50M deferred cash outlay may affect near‑term cash metrics .
- KPI mix shift: Large‑customer concentration rising (61% of ARR), supporting upsell and pricing power, though concentration risks warrant monitoring .
- Tactical positioning: Emphasize companies standardizing AI workflows and expanding channel reach—N‑able’s UK VAR motion and large mid‑market wins are validations .
Appendix: Additional Relevant Press Releases (Q3 period)
- Cyber Warranty Program: $100K per protected entity for Adlumin MDR Advanced via partner Cysurance; augments insurance, accelerates incident response for SMBs/MSPs .
- Earnings call scheduling notice (Nov 6, 2025) .